Multiple factors contributed to the crash, including weak U.S. employment data, global stock market pressure, concerns over Jump Crypto’s asset movements, and uncertainty surrounding the upcoming U.S. presidential election.
The cryptocurrency market has experienced its largest three-day sell-off in almost a year, wiping out approximately $510 billion in value since August 2. The dramatic plunge has sent shockwaves through the digital asset space, with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) leading the downward spiral.
As of early Monday morning EST, Bitcoin had fallen 16.53% in the past 24 hours, trading at $49,883 – its lowest since February. Ethereum faced an even steeper decline, tumbling 23.75% to $2,186, a price not seen since January. Other major cryptocurrencies weren’t spared, with BNB dropping 22.8% and XRP shedding 19.8%. The entire crypto market is down 18.2% in just one day.
Multiple factors have contributed to this market meltdown:
Weak U.S. Employment Data: Friday’s payroll report showed only 114,000 jobs added, significantly lower than expected. This has intensified recession fears, leading to a broader sell-off in traditional markets. The Nasdaq fell 2.43%, while the S&P 500 dropped 1.84%.
Global Stock Market Pressure: The sell-off has spread globally, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 and Topix indices plunging about 7% in morning trading in Asia, nearing bear market territory. This follows the Bank of Japan’s decision to raise its key interest rate to about 0.25% from zero to 0.1%.
Jump Crypto Asset Movements: Over the weekend, Jump Crypto, the crypto arm of Jump Trading, appeared to be moving hundreds of millions of dollars worth of crypto assets, including ether and USDT. This has led to speculation about potential liquidation amid a U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission investigation.
U.S. Election Uncertainty: The upcoming U.S. presidential election is becoming a concern for crypto investors. Vice President Kamala Harris has seen growing approval ratings, with prediction markets giving her a 45% chance of winning. This shift has worried some crypto proponents, as Harris’s stance on cryptocurrency is less clear than pro-crypto candidate Donald Trump.
Ethereum-Led Decline: Justin d’Anethan, head of APAC business development at crypto market maker Keyrock, noted that this market downturn appears to be “ETH-led, instead of BTC-led,” possibly due to ETH ETF trade and large investors unwinding their positions in the Grayscale ETH Fund.
Berkshire Hathaway’s Apple Sell-Off: News that Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway sold nearly half of its Apple Inc. position during the second quarter could add further pressure to the equities market, indirectly affecting crypto sentiment.
The crypto market’s sharp decline has pushed the Crypto Fear and Greed Index into “fear” territory, currently displaying a score of 26 – its lowest level in 23 days. This indicator reflects the overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, with lower scores indicating higher levels of fear among investors.
Looking ahead, the crypto market faces a challenging week as it attempts to recover from the weekend losses. The uptick in spot and derivatives activity from traditional financial institutions will bolster the market. Investors will closely watch for clarity on the Jump Trading situation, election predictions, and potential dip-buying at these levels.
Additionally, market participants will be monitoring broader economic factors, including the rate environment and the upcoming Mt. Gox redemptions, which have been weighing on crypto markets.
As the digital asset space navigates through this turbulent period, it remains to be seen how quickly the market can regain its footing and whether this sharp correction will lead to a prolonged bearish trend or serve as a temporary setback in the ongoing crypto narrative.
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